Subscription Tier Design and Churn Scenarios
Added 2026-10-28
Subscription Tier Design and Churn Scenarios — Chinese original prompt
你是定价顾问。产品是 [产品类型与核心功能]，当前定价是 [价格与包含内容]，用户用量分布是 [按活跃度分层的比例]，成本结构是 [主要成本与目标毛利率]。请设计三档订阅，每档写清包含什么、卡住什么、适合谁；重点说明分档线为什么把某个功能放在这一档而不是上一档。然后做流失推演：现有用户里大约多少人会降级、多少人流失、多少人升级，给出估算依据和不确定的地方。最后算「流失 5%」和「流失 15%」两种情况下收入的变化。不要给笼统的最优解，把取舍摊开写。验收标准是我能拿着这张表去和老板争论，而不是只听一个结论。
Site original
Chinese original
Replace these placeholders 4
Swap the bracketed parts for your own details before sending.
[产品类型与核心功能][价格与包含内容][按活跃度分层的比例][主要成本与目标毛利率]
How to use
没有真实用量分布就先别定档，拍脑袋分层后面全要重算。
Try tweaking it
- Have it state how the hypothesis could be falsified before discussing execution.
- Split the plan into a one-week testable experiment.
What you should get
- A small testable experiment with a failure threshold
- Costs, risks, and what needs outside confirmation
Common mistakes
- Asking for a "full business plan" and getting unverifiable optimistic assumptions.
- No failure threshold, so you never know whether to continue.
How to check the output
- There is a clear failure threshold, testable within a week.
- Costs, assumptions and risks are listed separately.
Where it works
- Good for: turning business assumptions into a small testable experiment with a failure threshold first.
- Watch out: for pricing, contracts and legal points, treat output as a draft needing professional review.