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Map Who Wins and Who Pays

Added 2026-11-03

Every plan has winners and cost-bearers; friction appears where they differ.

I am pushing a plan (described below). Draw the benefits-and-costs map: 1) list every affected party, including the quiet ones; 2) mark each as gaining, losing or neutral, and how much; 3) point out where benefits are clear but the cost falls on someone else; 4) predict who will object first; 5) suggest a compensation or cost-sharing adjustment. Do not assume everyone will support it.
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How to use

方案推不动,常常不是道理不够,是成本落在没被问过的人身上。

Try tweaking it

  • Ask what evidence would overturn the judgement.
  • Have it argue both sides with three reasons each.

What you should get

  • A decision table: assumptions, evidence, counter-evidence
  • A next action with an observable signal

Common mistakes

  • Asking only "should I?" and getting equally valid answers both ways.
  • Never asking for counter-examples, so you only hear support.

How to check the output

  • It states what evidence would overturn the conclusion.
  • Both sides are argued, with assumptions marked as such.

Where it works

  • Good for: splitting a decision into assumptions, evidence and counter-cases, leaving the call to you.
  • Watch out: ask what evidence would overturn the judgement, or you will only hear supporting reasons.

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