Find the Question Behind the Number
Added 2026-11-04
The same number can support opposite conclusions.
I am looking at a metric (below). Do: 1) list three ways this number could be interpreted; 2) say what extra data each interpretation needs; 3) judge where the number is most likely to be misused; 4) name three related metrics that should be read alongside it; 5) if I could ask only one question to understand it, what should it be. Do not rush to a conclusion.
Site original
Chinese original
How to use
数字不回答问题，数字只是让问题更具体。
Try tweaking it
- Ask what evidence would overturn the judgement.
- Have it argue both sides with three reasons each.
What you should get
- A decision table: assumptions, evidence, counter-evidence
- A next action with an observable signal
Common mistakes
- Asking only "should I?" and getting equally valid answers both ways.
- Never asking for counter-examples, so you only hear support.
How to check the output
- It states what evidence would overturn the conclusion.
- Both sides are argued, with assumptions marked as such.
Where it works
- Good for: splitting a decision into assumptions, evidence and counter-cases, leaving the call to you.
- Watch out: ask what evidence would overturn the judgement, or you will only hear supporting reasons.