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Build or Buy: Do the Math First

Added 2026-10-30

Compare total cost, maintenance burden and exit cost of building versus buying.

We are deciding whether to build or buy a capability. I will give requirements, rough build cost, vendor price, team size, and how important this capability is. Do: 1) 12-month total cost for each path including people, maintenance and migration; 2) which path gets more expensive when requirements change; 3) a small build-to-validate path with success metrics; 4) if we buy, the three exit clauses that must be in the contract. Put key numbers in a table.
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How to use

自建的真实成本不在开发,而在之后的每一年。

Try tweaking it

  • Have it state how the hypothesis could be falsified before discussing execution.
  • Split the plan into a one-week testable experiment.

What you should get

  • A small testable experiment with a failure threshold
  • Costs, risks, and what needs outside confirmation

Common mistakes

  • Asking for a "full business plan" and getting unverifiable optimistic assumptions.
  • No failure threshold, so you never know whether to continue.

How to check the output

  • There is a clear failure threshold, testable within a week.
  • Costs, assumptions and risks are listed separately.

Where it works

  • Good for: turning business assumptions into a small testable experiment with a failure threshold first.
  • Watch out: for pricing, contracts and legal points, treat output as a draft needing professional review.

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