Surface the Unstated Premises
Added 2026-10-30
Give a piece of reasoning; have the model list assumptions required for it to hold and rate each one.
Below is a piece of reasoning. Find the three premises it needs but never states, and classify each as almost certainly true, needs checking, or probably false. For each: give the smallest fact that would verify it, and what the conclusion becomes if it fails. End with one sentence naming the biggest risk. Do not rewrite the conclusion.
Site original
Chinese original
How to use
多数争论不是结论错，而是前提没摆到台面上。
Try tweaking it
- Ask what evidence would overturn the judgement.
- Have it argue both sides with three reasons each.
What you should get
- A decision table: assumptions, evidence, counter-evidence
- A next action with an observable signal
Common mistakes
- Asking only "should I?" and getting equally valid answers both ways.
- Never asking for counter-examples, so you only hear support.
How to check the output
- It states what evidence would overturn the conclusion.
- Both sides are argued, with assumptions marked as such.
Where it works
- Good for: splitting a decision into assumptions, evidence and counter-cases, leaving the call to you.
- Watch out: ask what evidence would overturn the judgement, or you will only hear supporting reasons.